The U.S. Job Market on AI, by AI

Generated Apr 1, 2026, 6:49 PM UTC

Inspired by @karpathy's experiment. This atlas explores what state-of-the-art AI systems think about occupational exposure, not an objective determination of what will happen.

Mean pay

$0 to $150K+

Jobs-weighted mean $68.5K

Projected growth

<-10% to >15%

Jobs-weighted mean +3%

Replacement exposure

0 to 10

Jobs-weighted mean 4.1/10

Filtered occupations

of 832 total

832

Filtered jobs

of 170M total

170M

Filtered score

all jobs 4.1/10

4.1/10

Filtered wage bill

of $11.6T total

$11.6T

Browse view

Color metric

Color scale

More insulated · 0Filtered average: 4.1/10More exposed · 10
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Replacement exposure by education

No degree105.1M · 4.1/10
Postsecondary certificate10.5M · 2.8/10
Associate degree3.5M · 3.9/10
Bachelor's degree42.5M · 4.6/10
Master's degree3.8M · 3.3/10
Doctoral or professional degree4.5M · 3.9/10

Replacement exposure bands

Minimal (0-2)28.6M · 16.8%
Low (2-4)59.8M · 35.2%
Moderate (4-6)46.4M · 27.3%
High (6-8)29.1M · 17.1%
Very high (8-10)6.1M · 3.6%